Do not be too timid and squeamish about your actions. All life is an experiment. The more experiments you make the better. What if they are a little course, and you may get your coat soiled or torn? What if you do fail, and get fairly rolled in the dirt once or twice. Up again, you shall never be so afraid of a tumble - Ralph Waldo Emerson
 

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
121 PM EDT Wed Apr 24 2019

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 32N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through 
1700 UTC.

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

The monsoon trough extends from Sierra Leone near 07N12W to near 
03N19W. The ITCZ continues from 03N19W to 00N25W to 00N35W to the
coast of Brazil near 01S46W. Scattered to numerous moderate with
embedded isolated strong convection is from 00N-07N between 03W-
14W. Scattered moderate convection is within 180 nm N and 270 nm 
S of the monsoon trough and ITCZ axes between 14W-28W and within 
420 nm S of the ITCZ between 28W-40W. Scattered moderate
convection is also seen from 03S-05N between 40W-52W.

GULF OF MEXICO...

Upper-level diffluence and upper-level divergence over the NW Gulf
of Mexico ahead of an approaching disturbance currently over 
western Oklahoma, western Texas and north-central Mexico is 
inducing scattered showers over the northern and western Gulf of 
Mexico, northwest of a line from 29N84W to 23N96W. Farther west, 
scattered to numerous thunderstorms are occurring today over Texas
with the aforementioned disturbance and an associated frontal 
boundary. A 1019 mb high is centered over the north-central 
Florida peninsula, leading to tranquil weather over the eastern 
Gulf of Mexico. The cold front over Texas will move into the NW 
Gulf on Thursday morning. This will cause the high pressure over 
the eastern Gulf to retreat eastward. The front will reach the far
eastern Gulf of Mexico by Friday evening. It will become 
stationary, and weaken to a trough on Saturday. Scattered showers 
and thunderstorms are expected ahead of and along with the front, 
and they should reach the NW Gulf late tonight. Some of the 
thunderstorms in the northern Gulf could be strong, with gusty 
winds and frequent lightning.

CARIBBEAN SEA... 

The latest ASCAT pass shows gentle to moderate trades over the
eastern and central Caribbean Sea, although fresh winds are likely
occurring near the coast of Colombia. Moderate to locally fresh E
winds are over the NW Caribbean Sea. Relatively dry air is leading
to mostly fair weather over most of the Caribbean. The air is
slightly more moist in the SE Caribbean. As a result, isolated
showers are seen near Trinidad and the northeast coast of
Venezuela. Scattered showers and thunderstorms are noted over NW
Venezuela.

Fresh to strong NE winds are expected along the coast of Colombia
tonight until Thursday morning, and from Thursday afternoon until
Friday morning. In the Gulf of Honduras, fresh to locally strong
trades will pulse tonight and Thursday night. Moderate trade 
winds will continue elsewhere through today. Trades over the 
eastern and central Caribbean will increase to moderate to fresh 
tonight, and continue at that strength for the next several days.

ATLANTIC OCEAN...

A 1019 mb high is off the coast of N Florida near 30N77W. A
surface trough extends from 30N66W to the SE Bahamas. Isolated
showers and thunderstorms are near the trough from 25N-28N between
67W-71W. A pair of 1014 mb lows connected by a surface trough are
near 30N46W and 30N57W, respectively. An upper-level trough is 
present from 21N-31N between 60W-69W. A weakening upper-level low
is near 31N44W. Scattered showers and thunderstorms are seen near
the upper trough from 24N-27N between 59W-63W. Scattered showers
and thunderstorms associated with the upper-level low are seen
north of 27N between 38W-46W. Farther south, a surface trough is
noted from 23N43W to 15N55W. Scattered showers and thunderstorms
are seen near the NE end of the trough from 21N-25N between 39W-
45W.

The surface trough from 30N66W to the SE Bahamas will dissipate 
gradually today. The next cold front will move off the 
southeastern United States coast on Friday night/Saturday morning.
Strong S winds are expected to the E of the front with strong W 
to NW winds to the west of the front, from 27N northward. 
Scattered showers and thunderstorms, some with gusty winds, are 
expected to affect much of the area north of 27N from Friday 
through late Saturday.

For additional information please visit 
http://www.hurricanes.gov/marine

$$

Hagen

About me

I love communications! It gives me the ability to be an information broker - putting people in touch with others who can help them. It's very satisfying to bring people together this way ... and that's why I love working for charities, non-profits, humanitarian NGOs and aid agencies - all for the common good.

I've worked in journalism in the print, broadcast and online media and in PR, specifically in Media Relations, Stakeholder Engagement, Digital Commnications and Social Media.

I have a thing for environmental stuff and extreme weather events. I am somewhat of an amateur tropical meteorologist but am trying to get my head around temperate meteorology. I am also having some fun learning about gasification technologies.

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