Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Mon Aug 24 2026

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

Central Subtropical Atlantic (AL95):
Satellite-wind data indicate that the low-level circulation remains 
broad in association with an area of low pressure centered a few 
hundred miles east-southeast of Bermuda.  Environmental conditions 
are only marginally conducive for further development, but this 
system could become a short-lived tropical depression or storm 
through Tuesday while it moves northward and north-northeastward, 
well northeast of Bermuda.  By Wednesday, the low is forecast to 
move over cold waters, ending its formation chances.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...50 percent.

Eastern Tropical Atlantic:
A tropical wave and associated area of low pressure is centered a 
few hundred miles southeast of the Cabo Verde islands and is 
accompanied by disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Environmental 
conditions are forecast to gradually become more conducive for 
development, and a tropical depression could form by the middle to 
latter portions of the week while the system moves westward to 
west-northwestward at 15 to 20 mph across the eastern and central 
tropical Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...60 percent.

$$
Forecaster Blake